Christian Fries
Christian Fries

@f2135@mastodon.social

Prof. of Mathematical and Computational Finance, Software Developer, Nerd, Bike Repairer. Here private / hier privat.

twitter.com/f2135

November 16, 2022

My behaviour regarding wearing

follows a simple mathematical model:

The probability that I will become infected over a period of time is an exponential distribution whose intensity is a function of the total exposure to virus load.

1/10

The model implies, for example, that wearing a mask half the time in a restaurant can significantly improve the chances of not becoming infected - see below.

Note: what follows is 'school mathematics'. I have tried to simplify the descriptions.

2/10

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