@peter_ellis@mastodon.social
Director, Statistics for Development Division, at the Pacific Community. Tweets only represent my views, and are most likely to be about data and , maybe with bits of history, meta science and philosophy thrown in.
Hi everyone, I mostly post about , data in general, islands and a bit of management, history and economics. Occasionaly I amplify my work stuff, from job adverts (I hire statisticians and data scientists!) to just general cool stuff my colleagues do, working at the principal scientific and technical organisation in the Pacific.
I blogged about the interesting link between - depression - and voting for Trump in the 2024 election. A relationship between these variables at the county level stands up, in a model correcting for spatial autocorrelation and a state level random effect (using mgcv::gam).
Of course the causality is unlikely to be depression -> vote GOP, but to reflect an underlying common economic or social cause.
https://freerangestats.info/blog/2024/12/23/depression-and-vote
free range statistics
Depression incidence by county and vote for TrumpMulti-level modelling with spatial auto-correlation! I look at county level data on incidence of depression in 2020, and voting for Trump in the 2024 US Presidential election, and conclude that there's something there, but of course there are lots of potential explanations of what is behind the relationship.
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